Canada COVID surge due to vaccine-induced immunity drop

Among other things, Canada and the USA CFR are newly above the global average Case Fatality Rate. Due to waning vaccinations, school and work productivity is down, hospitalizations up.

Video: The impact of rising COVID-19 hospitalizations is that the routine and urgent care work of hospitals is not available, increasing non-COVID loss of life. Some doctors in Canada are speaking out.

The dangerous surge in the month of October may be an indicator of what is ahead for the early winter months and COVID-19 hospitalizations in Canada.

Experts are suggesting that the Canadian population failure to get adequately boosted is costing lives and slamming down on school and work productivity due to sickness and hospitalizations. The impact has another dangerous outcome which is declining health care for other indications.

CSPaC data through October indicates hospitalization increases in Canada and still climbing. Deaths from COVID-19 are high compared to the global average Case Fatality Rate (CFR) which is slightly less than 1% around the world, whereas Canada is slightly higher at 1.07%. That is a trend to avoid with increased vaccination-booster rates. Canada is slipping into a higher CFR than in the pandemic-past compared to the global average.

“This is a ten times greater death rate than influenza.  (Influenza has an IFR of .1% or 6 per 100k (2019)). We will not know the universe of data for the IFR (Infection Fatality Rate) until the pandemic is deemed to be over but that is looking like 6x the death rate of influenza so far. That will change as compensations are conducted in countries where bad reporting has skewed numbers,” explains Dr. Harris at the Civil Society Solidarity Partners against COVID-19 tracking team (CSPaC) in Singapore.

COVID-19 Hospitalizations in Canada

COVID-19 Hospitalization trend graph for Canada showing a steady rise again having never dropped low enough and plateaued higher then 2020/2021 averages. Source: Civil Society Solidarity Partners against COVID-19 tracking team (CSPaC) in Singapore.

Vaccinations in Canada are waning significantly. Public Health Agency of Canada says only 17% of Canadians are up to date.

“Canada in 2021 had a good vaccination rate, but that has declined drastically. Only one in five Canadians have received their COVID-19 booster shots.,” notes Kathy Poon, an intern and biostatistician at the Civil Society Solidarity Partners against COVID-19 tracking team in Singapore.

“The impact of the increased illness and hospitalizations is significant in the context of overall productivity, achieving economic and educational goals and schedules, plus general health. Hospitals overburdened with COVID-19 cases are neglecting other aspects of health care including urgent surgeries. Yesterday a patient in Quebec died after a 16-hour wait to be seen. The doctor in this case is speaking out through Quebec media,” she added.

“The current modest consensus among epidemiologists is that boosters for adults can be administered as early as three months, and up to five months normally. Patients should consult their local health care authorities for their area because dosing and delivery metrics vary from country to country,” she added.

COVID-19 Hospitalizations in Canada

October 2022 Hospitalization trends in Canada are showing a steady rise. Source: Civil Society Solidarity Partners against COVID-19 tracking team (CSPaC) in Singapore.

Angus Reid Polling

Polling data courtesy of Angus Reid Institute.

 Note on rare, mild, myocarditis worries about mRNA Vaccine.

“Myocarditis risk (26·7 cases per 100 000 young males) is higher after SARS-CoV-2 virus infection than after mRNA COVID-19 vaccination.” Citing: Recovery from mRNA COVID-19 vaccine-related myocarditis – The Lancet Child & Adolescent Health

“According to the data in the US Vaccine Adverse Events Reporting System (VAERS), approximately 40.6 cases of myocarditis per million second doses among males and 4.2 cases per million among females have been reported as of 11 June 2021 in persons 12-29 years of age who received the mRNA COVID-19 vaccines. For persons over 30 years of age, the reporting rates were 2.4 and 1.0 per million second doses, respectively, for males and females.” Citing: COVID-19 subcommittee of the WHO Global Advisory Committee on Vaccine Safety (GACVS): updated guidance regarding myocarditis and pericarditis reported with COVID-19 mRNA vaccines – World | ReliefWeb

Does vaccination prevent serious infection? Mostly, yes. When was the patient last vaccinated and what is the viral load they received? Immune response is strongest in the first three to five months since jab. Get boosted in accordance with local public health schedules.

Dr. Fred Harris, who has led the CSPAC team for nearly three years says, “There is much chatter about the current vaccines not preventing infection. That is not categorically true but may apply to some patients depending on when they were vaccinated and what is the viral load they have been exposed to. There is a high probability of the vaccines helping prevent an infection if the human body has reacted strongly. Otherwise, no. A vaccinated person can contract a mild viral load and defeat the virus or a heavier load and become symptomatic. Extremes are also possible but statistically rare. That is the statistical, not medical data,” he added.

Newer vaccines have a wider range of effectiveness but only if they are getting into arms. In the USA, the CDC recommends that everyone over 12 get an updated booster as long as at least two months have passed since their last shot. But only 4% ofe eligible Americans did that. It is beginning to show in statistical evidence. It is abundantly clear that nations with higher current vaccinations show fewer new cases over unit time. There are no other known factors that would explain that,” said Dr. Harris.

Data slams down hard in favour of getting vaccinated and boosted.

In short, what the statistics show, upon becoming infected with SARS-CoV-2:

  1. An unvaccinated person is more likely to become very ill and could even die.
  2. A person who is vaccinated but not up to date is more likely to get sick. 
  3. A person who is fully vaccinated, up to date, is unlikely to become noticeably ill.
  4. Risk increases as more time passes for the vaccinated but un-boosted.

19 Jul 2024 Details COVID-19 Infections Summary for Canadian Provinces

19 Jul 2024

And here is how to wear an N95 Mask

All of the medical professions FPMag has been speaking with urge the public to wear an N95 medical mask whin mask-wearing is indicated. Learn how to fit test and use a NIOSH standards N95 respirator indoors near other people and outdoors in crowds to fight off XBB-SARS-CoV-2 variant and other variant infections.

 Here is how to don and doff your N95 respirator mask, especially when doffing your mask after you have been in high-risk areas. These masks are effective according to the CDC in helping to prevent the spread of COVID-19, Flu, swine flu and avian flu transmission from person to person.

N95 masks are designed to fit over the nose and mouth of the wearer, and properly fitted can provide excellent protection for you and from you. 

Wash your hands for at least 20 seconds in a good soap  before and after touching your mask. Using a hand sanitizer is an acceptable alternative if done correctly.

Hand Sanitizer Procedure

1. Apply enough sanitizer to completely cover both hands.
2. Rub hands together, palm to palm.
3. Rub back of each hand with palm of other hand.
4. Spread sanitizer over and under fingernails
5. Spread sanitizer between fingers
6. Keep rubbing hands together until they are dry. Do not dry
with a towel.